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Market reports
Market Report May 2024
Current market situation for soybean oil, rapeseed oil, sunflower oil, olive oil, almond oil, hazelnut oil, pistachio oil and walnut oil
General oils and fats complex
Soybean oil
After soybean oil prices declined over the past few weeks, this trend has significantly reversed. Since the end of last week, prices for refined soybean oil have risen by around 5%. This is due to increased demand from the biodiesel industry, but funds have also bought larger positions again. In various growing regions in Brazil (Rio Grande do Sul), there have been major floods that destroyed a large portion of the approximately 5 million tons of soybeans yet to be harvested. Shipments from the affected region are delayed due to damage to the local ports.
Rapeseed oil
Rapeseed oil prices have risen and now, for the first time since mid-2023, carry a premium over sunflower oil, soybean oil, and palm oil. This is due to the sharp decline in surpluses in the EU and the high demand from the biodiesel industry.
Sunflower oil
Global sunflower oil production is expected to be around 23.4 million tons, which is higher than originally anticipated. Particularly, production in Russia and Ukraine has significantly exceeded estimates. In the second half of the campaign (April-September), available quantities are somewhat reduced. As a result, prices have increased slightly, and sunflower oil now carries a premium over soybean oil.
Olive oil
After prices significantly decreased from historical highs in recent weeks, a trend in the opposite direction can now be observed again. Most consumers noticeably restrained their spending in the first quarter, resulting in decreased sales for cooperatives. When the much-needed rains fell in Andalusia and temperatures cooled down again, cooperatives showed increased interest in selling more quantities, causing prices to drop by about 20%. However, as demand increased (especially from Italy), prices started to firm up again. By the end of May, the olive trees will be in full bloom. More concrete indications of the upcoming harvest can then be expected, which will also determine the prices for the coming months. However, sensorially superior products always trade at a significant premium over standard goods, meaning that high prices must still be expected here.
Key products from the Gustav Heess production in the USA
Almond oil
The weather is warming up in California, and so far, has been perfect for almond growing. Currently the industry is expecting a crop size between 2.8 and 3 billion pounds. Shipments and sales of almonds thus far have been up this year.
Hazelnut oil
The weather in Oregon has been great for hazelnut production. Prices for hazelnuts have come down from the surge they saw at the beginning of the year as estimates are showing a healthy crop size for the 2023-2024 season.
Pistachio oil
Coming off the largest crop year in history, California pistachios are showing strong sales internationally. In the month of March, 110 million pounds of pistachios were shipped. This is a 55% increase from last year. Only 32% of the inventory from last year is remaining to be shipped. With an estimate of 1- 1.3 billion pounds to be harvested next year, prices remain firm.
Walnut oil
A large walnuts purchase by the USDA for school lunches and a decrease of walnut acreage has stabilized walnut prices.
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